ARC/PLC Payment Estimator

Estimate Your ARC & PLC Payments

Compare estimated ARC-CO and PLC payments side by side for your farm. Adjust your base acres, yields, and expected prices to see which program may pay more under different scenarios.

1. Commodity & Base Acres

acres
Your farm's base acres for this commodity, from FSA records.

2. PLC Inputs

bu/acre
Your farm's PLC payment yield from FSA-526 form. This is NOT your APH.
$/bu
Marketing year average price you expect for Sep 2026 – Aug 2027. Futures price is shown above as a rough proxy.
Statutory reference$3.70/bu
Effective reference (with escalator)$4.26/bu
Loan rate$2.20/bu
The effective reference price may be higher than the statutory reference under the 2018 Farm Bill escalator clause. PLC triggers when MYA falls below the effective reference price.

3. ARC-CO Inputs

bu/acre
What you expect the county average yield to be this year.
bu/acre
Olympic average of county yields over 5 years (drop the high and low). Check FSA county data.
$/bu
Olympic average of national MYA prices over 5 years. Pre-filled with estimated values.

Estimated Payments

At $3.70/bu MYA and 180 bu/acre county yield, on 500 base acres:

PLC
$41,650
$83.30/acre
Pays more here
vs
ARC-CO
$38,480
$76.96/acre

PLC may pay more at this scenario because the MYA price is below the effective reference price ($4.26). PLC is purely price-triggered and pays regardless of county yield. ARC-CO depends on county revenue, so if yields hold up, ARC's revenue may not drop enough to trigger.

Trigger Prices

PLC triggers at or below$4.26/buEffective reference price. MYA must fall below this for PLC to pay.
ARC-CO revenue guarantee$778.64/acre86% of benchmark revenue. County revenue (price x yield) must fall below this.
ARC-CO trigger price (at benchmark yield)$4.33/buIf county yield matches the benchmark, ARC-CO may trigger below this price.

How the Math Works

PLC Payment
Effective reference price$4.26/bu
Higher of (MYA, loan rate)$3.70/bu
Payment rate$0.56/bu
Payment yield175 bu/acre
Payment factor85% of base acres
PLC per acre$83.30
PLC total (500 acres)$41,650
ARC-CO Payment
Benchmark revenue$905.40/acre
Guarantee (86%)$778.64/acre
Actual county revenue$666.00/acre
Shortfall$112.64/acre
Max payment (10% of benchmark)$76.96/acre
Payment factor85% of base acres
ARC-CO per acre$76.96
ARC-CO total (500 acres)$38,480

What If Prices Move?

Estimated per-acre payments at different MYA price levels relative to the effective reference price, holding county yield at 180 bu/acre.

ScenarioMYA PricePLC/acreARC-CO/acrePLC TotalARC Total
-20%$3.41$126.73$76.96$63,367$38,480
-15%$3.62$95.05$76.96$47,526$38,480
-10%$3.83$63.37$75.25$31,684$37,623
-5%$4.05$31.68$42.66$15,842$21,328
At ref price$4.26$10.07$5,034
+5%$4.47
+10%$4.69

These are estimates for educational purposes only. Actual ARC and PLC payments depend on final marketing year average prices, your farm's specific base acres, PLC payment yields, and county-level benchmark data published by FSA. The effective reference price may differ from the statutory reference under the escalator clause. Consult your FSA office and crop insurance agent before making election decisions. Farmer's Navigator is not affiliated with USDA.